Observations

Special reports

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Special reports

Key scenarios driving our H2 2026 outlook

Investors across the world have endured a testing first half of 2026! We have dealt with presidential kidnappings, US Supreme Court rulings, wars, oil shocks, inflation, central bank regime changes, and ongoing euphoria/pessimism around the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution.
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Special reports

Australian equities – recent underperformance is not enough to reverse our underweight stance

Although Australian equities have delivered an almost 10% total return over the past 12 months, this performance has materially lagged that of equity markets in major developed and emerging economies.
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Special reports

Geopolitics, technology, and leadership – in conversation with General Petraeus

A June 2026 conversation with General David H. Petraeus on navigating geopolitical disruption, technological change, and investment leadership in a rapidly shifting world.
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Special reports

Federal budget 2026-27

Treasurer Chalmers delivered the Government’s fifth federal budget on 12 May 2026. As flagged prior, this year’s budget contains a raft of significant revenue raising measures, headlined by substantial cuts to the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) and reforms to capital gains tax...
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Special reports

US and Iran strike two-week ceasefire deal – peak uncertainty?

Investors must feel like they’ve endured an unusually testing past six weeks. The US-Iran conflict has continued to escalate, while a physical oil supply shock has worsened across the world and financial markets have endured increased levels of volatility.
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Special reports

Interpreting the private credit cacophony

Over the last year, a week has rarely passed without private credit being in the media spotlight. Whilst Australian rhetoric has historically been biased towards real estate lending, select corporate defaults and ASIC’s report on the asset class (and forward looking implications), global...
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Special reports

We begin deploying into equities

It’s been another turbulent week across financial markets as investors deal with the ongoing (and in many cases, escalating) conflict in the Middle East precipitated by the 28 February 2026 strikes by the US and Israel across Iran. Throughout this period, we have continued parsing developments...
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Special reports

Staying calm under fire as US, Israel strike Iran

This Special Report summarises our analysis and assessment of the macro-economic, market, and investment implications of these developments. We are clearly deep within the fog-of-war, with significant near-term uncertainty around the situation on the ground. Using our constraints-based...
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Special reports

The greater the disruption, the more bullish we should all become

It might read a tad counterintuitive but make no mistake, recent events are arguably the most instructive, and bullish, we have seen for some time. And it has nothing to do with geopolitics (if anything, they continue to make the investing picture murkier), the direction of interest rates...

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