Market View

Japan's corporate transformation - ten years on

  • from Jeremy Sterngold Deputy Chief Investment Officer
  • Date
  • Reading time 5 minutes

shutterstock_2178321981

At a glance

  • A decade of governance reform has switched Japanese corporate priorities from capital preservation to rewarding shareholders.
  • Record dividends and buybacks, falling cross-shareholdings and rising investor pressure demonstrate that change is still gathering pace.
  • Rising wages, higher interest rates and Prime Minister Takaichi's growth agenda are shaping the next stage.

A little over ten years ago, in September 2016, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) pledged to hold the yield on 10-year government bonds at around zero, with its main interest rate at -0.1%. Japan had struggled for decades with weak demand and persistent deflationary pressure. The BoJ had already introduced negative rates to encourage lending and spending and keeping longer-term borrowing costs low was another attempt to reach its 2% inflation target. 

This year though, on 18 September, it raised that rate to 1.25%, the highest level since 1995.1 Yet, the most significant change has been in Japan's companies, which have transformed how they are governed, how they use their cash and how they reward shareholders following a decade of reforms. In this article, we look at how governance reform has reshaped corporate Japan and what it means for investors.

From three arrows to a governance revolution

Former Prime Minister of Japan, Shinzo Abe's economic programme which launched in 2012, rested on “three arrows”: monetary easing, flexible government spending and structural reform. Abe sought to revive growth and break the cycle of weak demand and falling prices using near-term stimulus and reforms aimed to raise Japan’s long-term growth prospect. 

The structural reform has arguably proved the most lasting, particularly in the boardroom. In 2025 for example, 98.8% of companies on the Tokyo Stock Exchange's Prime market had independent directors making up at least a third of their board, in line with the Corporate Governance Code's expectation.2

The pressure intensified in 2023, when the Tokyo Stock Exchange asked listed companies, particularly those valued below their net asset value, to report on how they would improve returns for shareholders.3 Companies have also been unwinding cross-shareholdings, stakes they hold in one another which have historically helped shield management from outside pressure. The Toyota group alone sold ¥935 billion of such holdings in the year to March 2026. With fewer friendly shareholders, investors have become more assertive, with listed companies submitting a record 139 proposals during June's various annual meetings.4 In July, a revised Corporate Governance Code went further still, asking boards to regularly examine whether their cash is being put to good use.5

Shareholders are being rewarded as never before

Listed Japanese companies were expected to pay more than ¥20 trillion in dividends in the year to March 2026, a record high. The share of profits paid out was close to 40%, above the roughly 34% paid out by large US companies. They also announced a record ¥22.3 trillion of share buybacks in the same year, with announcements between January and May this year a further 34% higher. Record payouts show that the shift is reaching shareholders, but the longer-term test is whether companies can also reinvest at attractive returns rather than relying on distributions alone.

The Nikkei 225 index closed at 16,808 on the day of the BoJ's 2016 announcement, and closed at 66,754 at the end of September 2026, almost four times higher a decade later.

Graph v3
Source: LGT, Bloomberg 13.10.2026

Japanese companies are cash strong

Japanese companies also stand out for the strength of their balance sheets. According to Bloomberg research, around 58% of listed Japanese companies hold more cash than debt, compared with roughly 31% in the UK and 20% in the US.6 These resources give many companies the capacity to continue raising dividends and buybacks. At the same time, holding large amounts of cash has historically held back the returns companies generate for shareholders, and encouraging companies to put that cash to more productive use is one of the main aims of the revised governance code. 

Japan's current account, the broadest measure of its trade and investment income with the rest of the world, recorded a record surplus of ¥34.5 trillion in the year to March 2026, the third record in a row. Unlike the US and the UK, which both run current account deficits, Japan earns more from abroad than it spends.

The source of that surplus has changed. Japan is often seen as an exporter of cars and electronics, but income from overseas investments, including dividends from Japanese companies' foreign subsidiaries, reached a record ¥42.3 trillion over the year, far exceeding the ¥1.4 trillion surplus on trade in goods. That income reflects Japanese companies’ long-term expansion overseas as foreign subsidiaries and investments now provide substantial returns alongside goods exports. A weaker yen has also increased the value of those earnings when brought home. For investors, this means the Japanese market offers exposure to global growth as well as the domestic economy. We hold Japanese equities without hedging the currency because we currently view the yen as undervalued; that position also leaves returns exposed to exchange-rate movements. A stronger yen could lift unhedged returns for investors whose base currency is not yen, although it could also reduce the yen value of overseas earnings. We view the currency as a potential tailwind.

Rising wages allow the BoJ to step back

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), prices rose faster than the BoJ's 2% target for more than three and a half years before moderating in January.7 Wages have followed. Rengo, Japan's largest trade union federation, secured average pay rises of 5% this spring, the third consecutive year at or above 5%. For companies, rising prices and wages support revenues after decades in which neither moved, although household pay has yet to keep pace with inflation.

Against this backdrop, the BoJ has been able to begin normalising monetary policy. It ended negative interest rates in March 2024, and September's increase was its sixth in the current cycle. For equity investors, the most notable step came in January, when the BoJ began selling the stock market funds it bought during its years of easing, albeit at a pace that would take more than a century to complete.

Takaichi's growth agenda

Sanae Takaichi, Prime Minister since October 2025, argues that Japan needs proactive government spending rather than austerity.8 Her Liberal Democratic Party won 316 of 465 lower house seats in February, and her government has identified 17 strategic sectors for support, including artificial intelligence and robotics, with public and private investment projected to exceed ¥370 trillion by fiscal 2040.

What this means for portfolios

Japan's transformation over the past decade is, above all, a corporate one. Companies that historically retained substantial cash and answered mainly to one another are now paying record dividends, buying back shares and facing shareholders who expect results. With governance rules still tightening and most companies holding more cash than debt, we believe this change has further to run. However, progress is uneven, which argues for being selective. The next decade will be judged by sustained improvements in productivity and returns on capital, not just by rising distributions or index levels.

Sources

  1.  Bloomberg
  2.  Financial Services Agency 
  3.  Japan Exchange Group
  4.  Reuters 
  5.  Financial Services Agency and Tokyo Stock Exchange
  6. Bloomberg
  7. IMF
  8. Japan Times

This communication is provided for information purposes only. The information presented herein provides a general update on market conditions and is not intended and should not be construed as an offer, invitation, solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any specific investment or participate in any investment (or other) strategy. The subject of the communication is not a regulated investment. Past performance is not an indication of future performance and the value of investments and the income derived from them may fluctuate and you may not receive back the amount you originally invest. Although this document has been prepared on the basis of information we believe to be reliable, LGT Wealth Management UK LLP gives no representation or warranty in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the information presented herein. The information presented herein does not provide sufficient information on which to make an informed investment decision. No liability is accepted whatsoever by LGT Wealth Management UK LLP, employees and associated companies for any direct or consequential loss arising from this document.

LGT Wealth Management UK LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom.

About the author
Our people - Jeremy Sterngold
Jeremy Sterngold Deputy Chief Investment Officer

Jeremy is our Deputy Chief Investment Officer. He sits on the Investment Committee and chairs the Fixed Income Committee. His coverage encompasses both rate and credit products and works closely with the funds team.

shutterstock_2743911985
Market View

Breaking down central bank jargon

Central banks are often described as ‘hawkish’ or ‘dovish’, but what does this mean in practice for interest rates, inflation and markets?
Front view of the reception building of the Ministry of the Economy and Finance
Market View

How France's borrowing costs are unsettling the eurozone

Explore why France’s borrowing costs are rising, how political and fiscal uncertainty is affecting eurozone markets, and what it means for investors.